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8002 PRM Certification - Exam II: Mathematical Foundations of Risk Measurement Question and Answers

Question # 4

A linear regression gives the following output:

Figures in square brackets are estimated standard errors of the coefficient estimates. What is the value of the test statistic for the hypothesis that the coefficient of is zero against the alternative that is less than zero?

A.

0.125

B.

2.5

C.

-1.25

D.

-2.5

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Question # 5

In statistical hypothesis tests, 'Type I error' refers to the situation in which…

A.

The null hypothesis is accepted when in fact it should have been rejected

B.

The null hypothesis is rejected when in fact it should have been accepted

C.

Both null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis are rejected

D.

Both null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis are accepted

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Question # 6

Let X be a random variable normally distributed with zero mean and let . Then the correlation between X and Y is:

A.

negative

B.

zero

C.

not defined

D.

positive

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Question # 7

Find the roots, if they exist in the real numbers, of the quadratic equation

A.

4 and -2

B.

-4 and 2

C.

1 and 0

D.

No real roots

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Question # 8

An underlying asset price is at 100, its annual volatility is 25% and the risk free interest rate is 5%. A European put option has a strike of 105 and a maturity of 90 days. Its Black-Scholes price is 7.11. The options sensitivities are: delta = -0.59; gamma = 0.03; vega = 19.29. Find the delta-gamma approximation to the new option price when the underlying asset price changes to 105

A.

6.49

B.

5.03

C.

4.59

D.

4.54

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Question # 9

A 2-year bond has a yield of 5% and an annual coupon of 5%. What is the Modified Duration of the bond?

A.

2

B.

1.95

C.

1.86

D.

1.75

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Question # 10

Over four consecutive years fund X returns 1%, 5%, -3%, 8%. What is the average growth rate of fund X over this period?

A.

2.67%

B.

2.75%

C.

2.49%

D.

None of the above

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Question # 11

The Lagrangian of a constrained optimisation problem is given by L(x,y,λ) = 16x+8x2+4y-λ(4x+y-20), where λ is the Lagrange multiplier. What is the solution for x and y?

A.

x = -1, y = 0

B.

x = 0, y = 20

C.

x = 5, y = 0

D.

None of the above

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Question # 12

A typical leptokurtotic distribution can be described as a distribution that is relative to a normal distribution

A.

peaked and thin at the center and with heavy (fat) tails

B.

peaked and thin at the center and with thin tails

C.

flat and thick at the center and with heavy (fat) tails

D.

flat and thick at the center and with thin tails

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Question # 13

What is the simplest form of this expression: log2(165/2)

A.

10

B.

32

C.

5/2 + log2(16)

D.

log2 (5/2) + log2(16)

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Question # 14

Simple linear regression involves one dependent variable, one independent variable and one error variable. In contrast, multiple linear regression uses…

A.

One dependent variable, many independent variables, one error variable

B.

Many dependent variables, one independent variable, one error variable

C.

One dependent variable, one independent variable, many error variables

D.

Many dependent variables, many independent variables, many error variables

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Question # 15

Consider a binomial lattice where a security price S moves up by a factor u with probability p, or down by a factor d with probability 1 - p. If we set d > 1/u then which of the following will be TRUE?

A.

The lattice will not recombine

B.

The probability of an up move will not be constant

C.

There will always be a downward drift in the lattice

D.

None of the above

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Question # 16

Suppose we perform a principle component analysis of the correlation matrix of the returns of 13 yields along the yield curve. The largest eigenvalue of the correlation matrix is 9.8. What percentage of return volatility is explained by the first component? (You may use the fact that the sum of the diagonal elements of a square matrix is always equal to the sum of its eigenvalues.)

A.

64%

B.

75%

C.

98%

D.

Cannot be determined without estimates of the volatilities of the individual returns

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Question # 17

Bond convexity is closely related to …

A.

The derivative of the bond's present value with respect to yield

B.

The second derivative of the bond's present value with respect to yield

C.

The integral of the bond's present value with respect to yield

D.

The sensitivity of the bond's present value with respect to yield

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Question # 18

Which of the following can induce a 'multicollinearity' problem in a regression model?

A.

A large negative correlation between the dependent variable and one of the explanatory variables

B.

A high positive correlation between the dependent variable and one of the explanatory variables

C.

A high positive correlation between two explanatory variables

D.

The omission of a relevant explanatory variable

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Question # 19

I have $5m to invest in two stocks: 75% of my capital is invested in stock 1 which has price 100 and the rest is invested in stock 2, which has price 125. If the price of stock 1 falls to 90 and the price of stock 2 rises to 150, what is the return on my portfolio?

A.

-2.50%

B.

-5%

C.

2.50%

D.

5%

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